Kentucky
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh | 71.3% | +3.1range +1.4 to +4.3Sufficient evidence | +5.2range +4.4 to +6.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Koby Brea | 69.6% | +2.8range +1.6 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | +5.0range +4.3 to +5.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Andrew Carr | 60.1% | +5.3range +4.1 to +6.7Sufficient evidence | +5.4range +4.8 to +6.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Amari Williams | 58.1% | +5.6range +4.1 to +6.8Sufficient evidence | +5.3range +4.6 to +6.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Lamont Butler | 48.6% | +5.4range +4.4 to +6.6Sufficient evidence | +4.4range +4.0 to +5.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaxson Robinson | 46.7% | +2.3range +0.9 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.7 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brandon Garrison | 40.1% | -1.0range -2.3 to +0.2Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.4 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ansley Almonor | 34.1% | +1.5range +0.3 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.8 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Travis Perry | 21.1% | -1.7range -2.7 to -0.8Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Collin Chandler | 21.1% | -1.6range -3.0 to -0.3Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trent Noah | 17.5% | -0.1range -1.4 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.7 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kerr Kriisa | 11.4% | +2.0range +1.2 to +2.6Limited evidence | +0.7range +0.7 to +0.8Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Walker Horn | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Grant Darbyshire | 0.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Zach Tow | 0.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
34 of 36 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 2 of 36 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $21,370,744 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $21,370,744 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 33 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology