James Madison
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Freeman | 73.7% | -0.2range -1.3 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +2.9 to +4.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Xavier Brown | 73.6% | +2.1range +1.1 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | +4.7range +4.1 to +5.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bryce Lindsay | 70.4% | +2.3range +1.1 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | +4.6range +3.9 to +5.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Eddie Ricks III | 64.3% | -0.5range -1.8 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +3.0range +2.3 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Elijah Hutchins-Everett | 63.8% | +3.2range +1.9 to +4.3Sufficient evidence | +4.6range +4.0 to +5.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| AJ Smith | 60.8% | -0.4range -1.9 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.2 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ebenezer Dowuona | 27.4% | -1.5range -2.7 to -0.1Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +0.8 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Noah Williams | 26.1% | -0.2range -1.3 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.0 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Justin Taylor | 19.7% | -0.8range -1.5 to +0.3Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.8 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Luke Anderson | 10.7% | +0.0range -0.7 to +0.8Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Will Lovings-Watts | 7.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Redd Thompson Jr. | 1.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jarrell Pope | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Aidan Mckeon | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Shane Feden | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Matt Hain | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
24 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (80%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 6 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $4,408,806 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $4,408,806 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 6 |
| 3 or more days | 21 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 2 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology