Jacksonville St
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Pierre Jr. | 94.6% | +0.2range -0.5 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +5.1range +4.5 to +5.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mason Nicholson | 66.8% | +3.6range +2.3 to +4.8Sufficient evidence | +5.3range +4.7 to +6.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Koree Cotton | 64.4% | +0.1range -0.9 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +2.8 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Marcellus Brigham Jr | 63.0% | -0.7range -1.6 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +3.0range +2.5 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Michael Houge | 59.2% | +0.4range -0.5 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.8 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Quel'Ron House | 53.3% | +2.7range +1.4 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | +3.9range +3.4 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jao Ituka | 45.5% | +0.0range -1.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +2.0 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Iaroslav Niagu | 29.3% | -0.4range -1.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jamar Franklin | 23.9% | -1.1range -2.3 to -0.2Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +0.8 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Avishai Lowery | 0.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Aidan Driggers | 0.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
31 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (100%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
No exclusions were recorded.
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,338,777 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,338,777 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 3 |
| 2 days | 9 |
| 3 or more days | 18 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.6 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 5 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology