IUPUI
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Craig | 81.8% | +0.5range -1.1 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.5 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jarvis Walker | 81.4% | -3.6range -4.9 to -2.3Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.0 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Alec Millender | 79.0% | -0.1range -0.9 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.5 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Paul Zilinskas | 77.2% | -0.4range -1.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.3 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| DeSean Goode | 53.6% | +1.4range +0.1 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | +2.5range +2.1 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Keenan Garner | 50.6% | -2.0range -3.3 to -0.7Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.1 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Timaris Brown | 26.7% | -2.2range -3.3 to -1.3Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.6 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ron Rutland III | 17.6% | -1.0range -2.0 to -0.2Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nathan Dudukovich | 13.6% | -2.0range -2.9 to -1.2Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Julian Steinfeld | 7.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Caleb Hannah | 7.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ajay Holubar | 3.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
25 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (86%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 4 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,606,361 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,606,361 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched by a manual override chosen by the model author. Its checks (IPEDS identity, state, home-venue city) confirm only that the pick is self-consistent. They are not independent proof that this school is the same program. If the match were wrong, these figures would belong to a different school.manual EADA match, not independently verified
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 3 |
| 3 or more days | 24 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology