PFW
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Bello | 83.5% | +1.5range +0.3 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | +4.9range +4.1 to +5.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Quinton Morton-Robertson | 78.7% | +1.1range -0.0 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +4.3range +3.7 to +5.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jalen Jackson | 76.1% | +1.0range -0.0 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | +4.2range +3.5 to +4.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Maximus Nelson | 57.9% | -0.6range -1.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | +2.5range +2.1 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Corey Hadnot II | 55.5% | -0.6range -1.5 to +0.3Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +2.0 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Chandler Cuthrell | 47.0% | +2.1range +1.2 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.6 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Eric Mulder | 44.8% | +1.1range +0.2 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +2.1 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trey Lewis | 23.2% | -0.4range -1.6 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Deangelo Elisee | 21.7% | +3.0range +1.7 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.3 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Chris Morgan | 10.6% | -0.7range -1.5 to -0.1Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Johnathan DeJurnett | 0.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Keaton Dukes | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
24 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (80%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 6 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $3,420,827 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,646,771 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 27 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology