Iowa St
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamin Lipsey | 74.7% | +4.4range +2.6 to +6.0Sufficient evidence | +5.7range +4.9 to +6.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Joshua Jefferson | 74.3% | +4.5range +3.2 to +5.8Sufficient evidence | +5.7range +5.0 to +6.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Curtis Jones | 72.6% | +3.4range +2.2 to +4.7Sufficient evidence | +5.0range +4.3 to +5.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Keshon Gilbert | 64.4% | +4.8range +3.2 to +6.0Sufficient evidence | +5.0range +4.4 to +5.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Milan Momcilovic | 54.8% | +5.2range +3.7 to +6.3Sufficient evidence | +4.4range +3.8 to +5.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nate Heise | 53.3% | +3.2range +1.6 to +4.4Sufficient evidence | +3.5range +2.9 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dishon Jackson | 46.6% | +2.3range +0.7 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.3 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brandton Chatfield | 35.8% | +1.6range +0.5 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | +1.9range +1.7 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Demarion Watson | 11.1% | +0.5range -0.4 to +1.5Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cade Kelderman | 5.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nojus Indrusaitis | 4.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| JT Rock | 1.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kayden Fish | 1.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Conrad Hawley | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
33 of 35 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 2 of 35 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $14,437,710 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $10,382,761 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 3 |
| 2 days | 3 |
| 3 or more days | 28 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology