Houston Chr
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Dawkins | 78.3% | -1.0range -1.9 to +0.1Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.4 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Peyton Rogers | 73.1% | +0.0range -0.8 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.6 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Julian Mackey | 68.4% | -1.6range -2.4 to -0.5Sufficient evidence | +2.3range +1.9 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Elijah Brooks | 64.2% | -1.4range -2.7 to -0.0Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.6 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trent Johnson | 61.2% | -0.3range -1.1 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | +2.5range +2.2 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| D'Aundre Samuels | 41.5% | +1.1range +0.3 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.8 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Porter Bazil | 39.6% | -0.5range -1.6 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.3 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Demari Williams | 24.4% | -2.5range -3.8 to -1.4Sufficient evidence | +0.7range +0.5 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Pierce Bazil | 20.2% | -2.7range -3.5 to -1.6Sufficient evidence | +0.6range +0.4 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ivan Reynolds | 17.4% | -0.9range -1.6 to -0.2Limited evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mason McBride | 11.0% | -0.8range -1.4 to -0.1Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nathan Self | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Marques Gates | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
23 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (77%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 7 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $1,463,931 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $1,463,931 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 2 days | 12 |
| 3 or more days | 17 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 5 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology