Algosys College Basketball

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Hawaii

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Hawaii, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Tom Beattie61.7%-1.8range -2.4 to -1.3Sufficient evidence+1.9range +1.6 to +2.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Tanner Christensen61.6%+1.2range +0.5 to +1.8Sufficient evidence+3.0range +2.7 to +3.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Gytis Nemeiksa60.3%+1.0range +0.1 to +1.9Sufficient evidence+2.9range +2.5 to +3.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Ryan Rapp59.8%+0.0range -0.8 to +0.9Sufficient evidence+2.5range +2.2 to +3.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kody Williams53.6%-2.3range -3.5 to -1.2Sufficient evidence+1.5range +1.1 to +2.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Marcus Greene52.9%+0.3range -0.8 to +1.4Sufficient evidence+2.3range +1.9 to +2.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Akira Jacobs50.3%-0.2range -1.0 to +0.6Sufficient evidence+2.1range +1.8 to +2.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Harry Rouhliadeff43.0%-0.8range -1.6 to -0.1Sufficient evidence+1.6range +1.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Aaron Hunkin-Claytor34.5%+0.9range +0.4 to +1.3Sufficient evidence+1.7range +1.5 to +1.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jerome Palm20.5%-1.9range -2.9 to -0.9Limited evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Osa Obasohan1.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
AJ Economou0.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Logan Robeson0.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

13 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (45%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 16 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue$2,239,771Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$3,199,708Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched by a manual override chosen by the model author. Its checks (IPEDS identity, state, home-venue city) confirm only that the pick is self-consistent. They are not independent proof that this school is the same program. If the match were wrong, these figures would belong to a different school.manual EADA match, not independently verified

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day2
2 days10
3 or more days16

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent4
Longest run of consecutive away games2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology