Harvard
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Pigge | 83.2% | +0.2range -0.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +2.9 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Thomas Batties II | 81.4% | +0.2range -0.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.8 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Robert Hinton | 78.1% | -0.5range -1.2 to +0.2Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.5 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Evan Nelson | 70.2% | -0.8range -2.1 to +0.5Sufficient evidence | +2.5range +1.9 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Louis Lesmond | 60.7% | +0.4range -0.5 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | +2.6range +2.2 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Austin Hunt | 37.7% | +0.4range -0.5 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.4 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tey Barbour | 37.3% | +0.8range -0.3 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | +1.7range +1.4 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ben Eisendrath | 19.5% | +0.6range -0.4 to +1.5Limited evidence | +0.9range +0.8 to +1.0Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Xavier Nesbitt | 11.3% | -1.7range -2.3 to -1.1Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dutch Dowdell | 10.6% | -2.7range -3.3 to -2.1Limited evidence | +0.3range +0.2 to +0.3Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Luca Ace-Nasteski | 7.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Leo Byrne | 2.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Payton Pitts | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Greg Cooper | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
22 of 26 games passed lineup acceptance (85%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 4 of 26 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $1,772,373 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $1,772,373 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 4 |
| 2 days | 2 |
| 3 or more days | 19 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.3 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology