Grand Canyon
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Harrison | 80.0% | +2.3range +1.3 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | +5.1range +4.4 to +6.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| JaKobe Coles | 71.9% | +4.1range +2.8 to +5.1Sufficient evidence | +5.5range +4.7 to +6.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Collin Moore | 64.0% | +1.7range +0.7 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | +3.7range +3.2 to +4.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Makaih Williams | 60.8% | +0.5range -1.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | +3.0range +2.3 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Duke Brennan | 59.6% | +3.5range +2.2 to +4.7Sufficient evidence | +4.2range +3.6 to +4.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Lok Wur | 54.3% | +0.7range -0.6 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.3 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tyon Grant-Foster | 52.4% | +1.0range -0.1 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.3 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Caleb Shaw | 38.9% | +0.5range -0.7 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +1.9range +1.5 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Styles Phipps | 9.5% | -0.8range -1.9 to +0.2Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Austin Maurer | 4.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Traivar Jackson | 2.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jason Amador | 1.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sammie Yeanay | 0.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
33 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (100%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
No exclusions were recorded.
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $7,913,665 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $7,913,665 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 10 |
| 3 or more days | 21 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 4 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology