Gonzaga
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nembhard | 86.9% | +6.5range +5.4 to +7.6Sufficient evidence | +6.8range +6.0 to +7.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nolan Hickman | 76.7% | +5.3range +3.9 to +6.6Sufficient evidence | +5.3range +4.5 to +6.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Khalif Battle | 65.8% | +1.5range +0.0 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.4 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Graham Ike | 58.6% | +3.8range +2.7 to +4.8Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +3.0 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ben Gregg | 49.6% | +3.9range +3.0 to +5.0Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.5 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Michael Ajayi | 44.7% | +2.7range +1.5 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.9 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dusty Stromer | 39.5% | +2.5range +0.6 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | +1.9range +1.5 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Braden Huff | 39.3% | +3.9range +2.5 to +5.2Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.8 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Emmanuel Innocenti | 26.7% | +2.9range +1.6 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ismaila Diagne | 5.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jun Seok Yeo | 3.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Joe Few | 2.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Joaquim ArauzMoore | 0.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Noah Haaland | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
28 of 35 games passed lineup acceptance (80%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 7 of 35 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $19,510,548 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $13,588,661 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 3 |
| 2 days | 7 |
| 3 or more days | 24 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology