Georgia Tech
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naithan George | 88.2% | +1.2range +0.3 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | +4.5range +3.9 to +5.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Lance Terry | 76.5% | +0.3range -1.2 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +3.5range +2.8 to +4.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Baye Ndongo | 74.8% | +2.1range +0.7 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | +4.2range +3.6 to +4.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Duncan Powell | 68.0% | +0.1range -1.3 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | +3.0range +2.4 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaeden Mustaf | 44.1% | +0.7range -0.5 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.8 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Javian McCollum | 43.6% | +0.8range -0.3 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.8 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ibrahim Souare | 37.1% | -0.5range -1.5 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.3 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Luke O'Brien | 15.4% | -0.7range -1.6 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Doryan Onwuchekwa | 13.5% | +0.6range -0.1 to +1.5Limited evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Darrion Sutton | 13.4% | -0.3range -0.9 to +0.3Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ryan Mutombo | 13.0% | -0.2range -0.8 to +0.5Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kowacie Reeves Jr. | 11.0% | -0.9range -2.0 to +0.3Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Emmer Nichols | 0.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Marcos San Miguel | 0.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
29 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (88%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 4 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $14,536,539 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $12,013,953 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched through an NCES IPEDS institution alias, with state and home-venue city agreeing.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 30 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology