Georgia St
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toneari Lane | 88.5% | -2.5range -3.5 to -1.5Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.1 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cesare Edwards | 79.7% | -0.2range -1.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +3.6range +2.9 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Malachi Brown | 74.4% | -0.5range -1.9 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.5 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nick McMullen | 73.1% | -0.3range -1.5 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.7 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jelani Hamilton | 71.0% | +0.2range -0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +2.9 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Zarique Nutter | 57.3% | -2.1range -3.5 to -0.7Sufficient evidence | +1.9range +1.3 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Clash Peters | 24.7% | +0.4range -0.7 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +1.0 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Malik Ferguson | 17.0% | -0.6range -1.7 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Darnell Evans | 6.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jason Jackson | 4.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut | 2.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Justin Archer | 1.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
26 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (81%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 6 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,870,461 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,870,461 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 7 |
| 3 or more days | 22 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 5 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology