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Gardner Webb

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Gardner Webb, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Darryl Simmons II84.6%-1.2range -2.2 to -0.3Sufficient evidence+3.2range +2.7 to +3.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Anthony Selden77.1%-2.0range -3.1 to -1.1Sufficient evidence+2.6range +1.9 to +3.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jamaine Mann70.1%-1.0range -2.1 to +0.3Sufficient evidence+2.8range +2.3 to +3.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Pharell Boyogueno56.4%+1.6range +0.2 to +2.9Sufficient evidence+3.1range +2.7 to +3.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Isaiah Richards55.5%+2.7range +1.2 to +4.2Sufficient evidence+3.5range +3.0 to +4.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Shahar Lazar41.8%-1.7range -2.6 to -0.7Sufficient evidence+1.5range +1.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Ademide Badmus41.7%-1.9range -3.1 to -0.5Sufficient evidence+1.4range +1.0 to +1.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jacob Hudson27.8%-0.8range -2.0 to +0.5Sufficient evidence+1.2range +0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Brendan Mykalcio20.2%-0.0range -1.2 to +1.2Sufficient evidence+1.0range +0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Colin Hawkins18.4%-3.9range -5.0 to -2.6Sufficient evidence+0.4range +0.3 to +0.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Taku Youngblood3.8%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Race Herr1.9%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Paul Lindberg0.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
DeShawn Goodwyn0.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

29 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 2 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue$1,495,968Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$1,495,968Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day1
2 days4
3 or more days25

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent2
Longest run of consecutive away games3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology