G Washington
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Castro | 74.3% | +2.2range +1.5 to +3.0Sufficient evidence | +4.8range +4.4 to +5.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Gerald Drumgoole Jr. | 66.3% | +1.4range +0.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | +3.9range +3.5 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trey Autry | 66.0% | +5.5range +4.4 to +6.8Sufficient evidence | +5.8range +5.2 to +6.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Darren Buchanan Jr. | 64.7% | +0.3range -0.7 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.8 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Christian Jones | 59.9% | +1.0range -0.2 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +2.8 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jacoi Hutchinson | 54.6% | -0.2range -1.3 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +2.6range +2.1 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sean Hansen | 50.0% | +0.8range -0.1 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.3 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trey Moss | 34.0% | -2.3range -3.4 to -1.2Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ty Bevins | 20.1% | -1.3range -2.4 to -0.2Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.6 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dayan Nessah | 9.0% | -0.0range -0.8 to +0.7Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Keegan Harvey | 0.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Amir Arrington | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mohamed Binzagr | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Laziz Talipov | 0.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
30 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 2 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $6,210,233 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $6,210,233 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 28 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology