Furman
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJay Smith | 82.1% | +2.9range +1.9 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | +5.8range +5.1 to +6.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nick Anderson | 79.9% | +1.4range -0.0 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | +4.8range +4.0 to +5.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cooper Bowser | 65.6% | -0.1range -0.9 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.8 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ben Vander Wal | 58.4% | +2.3range +1.2 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | +3.9range +3.3 to +4.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Garrett Hien | 57.3% | +2.0range +0.7 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | +3.7range +3.1 to +4.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Eddrin Bronson | 45.2% | -2.9range -3.8 to -1.5Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.0 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tom House | 44.6% | +1.0range -0.3 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | +2.5range +2.2 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Charles Johnston | 31.0% | +1.4range +0.7 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | +1.9range +1.6 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Davis Molnar | 22.6% | +1.6range +0.4 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.2 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tyrese Hughey | 6.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mason Smith | 4.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tommy Humphries | 1.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Thomas Tillman | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Clyde Mauldin | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jayson Morgan | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
26 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (84%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 5 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $4,052,982 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $4,052,982 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 27 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology