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Florida A&M

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Florida A&M, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Milton Matthews77.9%-1.5range -2.7 to +0.0Sufficient evidence+2.2range +1.7 to +2.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Roderick Coffee III60.2%-0.6range -1.7 to +0.5Sufficient evidence+2.0range +1.6 to +2.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jordan Chatman59.4%-0.5range -2.0 to +1.1Sufficient evidence+2.0range +1.6 to +2.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Sterling Young55.7%-2.6range -3.8 to -0.9Sufficient evidence+1.3range +0.9 to +1.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Ja'Derryus Eatmon50.7%-0.4range -1.5 to +0.7Sufficient evidence+1.8range +1.5 to +2.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kaleb Washington42.2%-3.8range -5.0 to -2.6Sufficient evidence+0.7range +0.4 to +1.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Shaqir O'Neal42.1%-2.8range -3.8 to -1.3Sufficient evidence+1.0range +0.7 to +1.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jamine Charles39.4%+0.5range -0.6 to +2.0Sufficient evidence+1.6range +1.3 to +1.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jocobi Hendricks17.4%-0.9range -1.9 to +0.1Limited evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Trey Lewis17.4%-2.7range -3.6 to -1.8Limited evidence+0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Saiyd Burnside14.5%-1.5range -2.3 to -0.4Limited evidence+0.4range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Tyler Shirley10.7%-2.3range -3.7 to -1.2Limited evidence+0.3range +0.2 to +0.4Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Miles Hall7.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Lenard Taylor Jr.5.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

22 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (76%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 7 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue$500,000Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$1,189,864Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched through an NCES IPEDS institution alias, with state and home-venue city agreeing.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day1
2 days8
3 or more days19

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent1
Longest run of consecutive away games5

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology