Algosys College Basketball

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FGCU

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for FGCU, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Jevin Muniz84.4%-0.3range -1.6 to +1.2Sufficient evidence+3.8range +3.0 to +4.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Dallion Johnson83.2%-0.2range -1.2 to +1.1Sufficient evidence+3.8range +3.2 to +4.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Zavian McLean71.1%+1.1range -0.1 to +2.3Sufficient evidence+3.9range +3.3 to +4.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Keeshawn Kellman59.9%+2.3range +1.3 to +3.5Sufficient evidence+3.8range +3.2 to +4.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Michael Duax57.9%+1.2range +0.0 to +2.5Sufficient evidence+3.2range +2.7 to +3.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Rahmir Barno49.3%+0.0range -1.0 to +1.1Sufficient evidence+2.3range +2.0 to +2.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Rory Stewart45.7%+0.6range -0.6 to +1.9Sufficient evidence+2.3range +2.0 to +2.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jack Reddick16.5%-0.7range -1.4 to +0.0Limited evidence+0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Tristen Guillouette15.9%+0.7range -0.2 to +1.5Limited evidence+0.8range +0.7 to +0.9Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Darren Williams12.9%-0.8range -1.8 to +0.1Limited evidence+0.5range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jackson "BB" Washington2.9%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Brandon Dwyer0.4%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

22 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (71%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 9 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue$2,519,072Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$2,519,072Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day2
2 days8
3 or more days20

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.6
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent0
Longest run of consecutive away games5

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology