ETSU
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quimari Peterson | 89.0% | +2.1range +1.0 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | +5.5range +4.7 to +6.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Karon Boyd | 74.2% | +1.2range +0.4 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | +4.1range +3.6 to +4.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaden Seymour | 72.2% | +0.2range -1.1 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | +3.5range +2.8 to +4.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| John Buggs III | 62.7% | +0.7range -0.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.8 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Allen Strothers | 44.7% | -0.3range -1.5 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | +2.0range +1.6 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Maki Johnson | 42.4% | +2.2range +0.9 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | +2.6range +2.2 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| D.J. Hughes | 40.2% | +1.3range +0.0 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.9 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Gabe Sisk | 27.5% | -0.1range -1.2 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Davion Bradford | 20.0% | -2.1range -3.2 to -0.9Sufficient evidence | +0.7range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Roosevelt Wheeler | 18.1% | +1.4range +0.7 to +2.4Limited evidence | +1.0range +0.9 to +1.2Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Curt Lewis | 7.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Timmy Fasehun | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaxson Jones | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| David Meriwether | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
24 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (80%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 6 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,170,170 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,170,170 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 28 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.6 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology