East Carolina
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Felton | 85.1% | -0.0range -0.8 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +4.3range +3.6 to +5.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jordan Riley | 84.9% | +0.4range -0.3 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +4.5range +4.0 to +5.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| C.J. Walker | 78.2% | +0.2range -0.8 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | +4.1range +3.4 to +4.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cam Hayes | 75.0% | -0.1range -1.3 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +3.7range +3.1 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jayshayne Woodard | 53.6% | +0.6range -0.6 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | +3.0range +2.5 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trevion LaBeaux | 48.7% | +0.4range -0.9 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +2.6range +2.1 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Yann Farell | 43.1% | +0.5range -0.4 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +2.0 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cyr Malonga | 9.9% | -0.1range -0.8 to +0.5Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Reid Cason | 7.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Julien Soumaoro | 6.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tybo Bailey | 4.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bencao Vungo | 2.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Callum Richard | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Grant Smith | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
28 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (90%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 3 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $4,299,003 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $4,288,223 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 3 |
| 3 or more days | 27 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology