E Michigan
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Terry | 90.5% | -1.2range -2.3 to +0.2Sufficient evidence | +3.5range +2.9 to +4.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Christian Henry | 88.6% | +0.8range -0.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | +4.5range +3.9 to +5.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Da'Sean Nelson | 74.4% | -0.9range -2.2 to +0.1Sufficient evidence | +3.0range +2.4 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Arne Osojnik | 66.4% | -0.4range -1.7 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.4 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jalin Billingsley | 62.1% | -1.9range -2.8 to -1.0Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.7 to +2.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dillon Tingler | 26.9% | -0.7range -1.8 to +0.3Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Yusuf Jihad | 25.5% | -0.4range -1.4 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| John Shanu II | 21.6% | +0.1range -0.6 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +0.9 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trey Pettigrew | 19.4% | -3.0range -3.9 to -2.0Sufficient evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Godslove Nwabude | 15.9% | -1.7range -2.3 to -0.9Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Julian Lewis | 7.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mario Brunetto | 0.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cooper Smith | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
26 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (84%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 5 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,413,618 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,413,618 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 28 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.6 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 2 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 5 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology