E Illinois
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kooper Jacobi | 85.3% | -0.9range -1.9 to +0.0Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.4 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nakyel Shelton | 80.4% | +0.2range -0.9 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.6 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Zion Fruster | 66.4% | -2.6range -4.0 to -1.3Sufficient evidence | +1.7range +1.1 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Artese Stapleton | 59.8% | -0.4range -1.5 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.8 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Rodolfo Rufino Bolis | 49.9% | -1.6range -2.3 to -0.5Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Malik Olafioye | 37.1% | -3.9range -5.1 to -2.6Sufficient evidence | +0.7range +0.4 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Obadiah Curtis | 36.6% | -0.4range -1.5 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Corey Sawyer Jr | 27.6% | +0.5range -0.6 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sekou Kalle | 14.5% | -1.5range -2.6 to -0.3Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Lazar Grbovic | 12.2% | -2.1range -2.9 to -1.3Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Carson Prost | 10.1% | -0.8range -1.3 to -0.1Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Terry McMorris | 7.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Blake Goodman | 6.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Isaiah Griffin | 2.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jackson Connor | 2.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kam O'Connor | 0.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
25 of 28 games passed lineup acceptance (89%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 3 of 28 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $1,591,175 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $1,591,175 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 2 days | 9 |
| 3 or more days | 18 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 5 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology