Delaware St
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaseem Watson | 85.1% | -0.2range -1.2 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.6 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Robert Smith | 82.7% | +0.2range -0.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.7 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Martaz Robinson | 78.2% | -0.0range -1.1 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | +3.0range +2.5 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Muneer Newton | 66.9% | +0.5range -0.8 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.2 to +3.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Alston Andrews | 60.1% | -0.3range -1.2 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | +2.2range +1.8 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Corey Perkins | 34.8% | -2.0range -2.9 to -1.1Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Raymond Somerville | 27.1% | -1.7range -2.8 to -0.5Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.6 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ponce James | 26.4% | +0.1range -0.8 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.9 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Caleb Surgers | 15.4% | -2.1range -3.0 to -1.3Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Javarzia Belton | 9.2% | -1.1range -1.6 to -0.7Limited evidence | +0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kareem Watson | 7.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dean Shepherd | 5.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| John Clemmons | 0.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Theodore Pendergrass III | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
22 of 26 games passed lineup acceptance (85%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 4 of 26 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $1,162,648 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $1,162,648 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 6 |
| 3 or more days | 18 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.0 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 1 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 6 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology