Algosys College Basketball

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Delaware

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Delaware, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
John Camden87.4%+0.3range -0.9 to +1.4Sufficient evidence+4.9range +4.2 to +5.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Cavan Reilly75.3%-0.4range -1.4 to +0.7Sufficient evidence+3.9range +3.2 to +4.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Izaiah Pasha73.5%+1.4range +0.5 to +2.2Sufficient evidence+4.8range +4.3 to +5.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Erik Timko73.4%+0.3range -0.9 to +1.8Sufficient evidence+4.2range +3.5 to +5.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Niels Lane69.6%+1.2range -0.0 to +2.4Sufficient evidence+4.5range +3.8 to +5.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Trent Middleton Jr.37.1%+1.0range -0.3 to +2.0Sufficient evidence+2.4range +2.0 to +2.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Macon Emory35.6%-1.8range -2.8 to -0.8Sufficient evidence+1.5range +1.1 to +1.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Tahron Allen23.2%-1.1range -1.9 to -0.2Sufficient evidence+1.1range +1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kevin Kogbara9.9%-2.8range -3.6 to -2.1Limited evidence+0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Houston Emory6.6%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Gabe Moss6.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Kobe Jerome1.8%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Brandon Baffone0.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Alex McFadden0.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

30 of 34 games passed lineup acceptance (88%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 4 of 34 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue$3,348,776Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$3,348,776Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day5
2 days9
3 or more days19

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.7
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent2
Longest run of consecutive away games4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology