Dayton
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enoch Cheeks | 83.6% | +2.0range +1.2 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | +5.2range +4.6 to +5.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Nate Santos | 82.8% | +1.1range -0.2 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | +4.6range +4.0 to +5.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Javon Bennett | 77.0% | +2.6range +1.2 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | +5.1range +4.2 to +5.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Malachi Smith | 66.3% | +1.7range +0.7 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | +4.0range +3.4 to +4.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Zed Key | 45.2% | +0.7range -0.5 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +1.9 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Amael L'Etang | 43.4% | +2.3range +1.3 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.4 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Posh Alexander | 40.3% | +0.8range -0.3 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.9 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jacob Conner | 22.4% | +0.7range -0.6 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaiun Simon | 17.3% | +0.4range -0.6 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Isaac Jack | 10.7% | +0.3range -0.6 to +1.4Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Hamad Mousa | 9.1% | -1.3range -1.9 to -0.6Limited evidence | +0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brady Uhl | 0.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Evan Dickey | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Atticus Schuler | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Will Maxwell | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Makai Grant | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
26 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (84%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 5 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $19,110,406 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $10,276,933 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 3 or more days | 28 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology