CS Sacramento
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Holt | 69.4% | -0.0range -1.1 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +2.3range +1.9 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bailey Nunn | 68.0% | -2.7range -4.1 to -1.3Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.1 to +2.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Lachlan Brewer | 66.5% | -1.6range -2.8 to -0.6Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.3 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| EJ Neal | 64.7% | -0.2range -1.4 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.8 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Emil Skytta | 56.1% | -2.8range -4.3 to -1.4Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +0.8 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Julian Vaughns | 44.8% | -0.5range -1.9 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Michael Wilson | 42.5% | -2.8range -3.9 to -1.6Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.7 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Chudi Dioramma | 29.1% | -0.5range -1.8 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.7 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Leo Ricketts | 20.6% | -1.2range -2.3 to -0.1Sufficient evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bowyn Beatty | 16.1% | -2.4range -3.0 to -1.7Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Deonte Williams | 9.3% | -1.4range -1.9 to -0.9Limited evidence | +0.3range +0.2 to +0.3Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Alex Kovatchev | 7.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jalen Pitre | 3.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kiir Kiir Chol Deng | 1.0% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
26 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (90%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 3 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,265,832 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,265,832 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched through an NCES IPEDS institution alias, with state and home-venue city agreeing.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 2 days | 9 |
| 3 or more days | 19 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.6 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology