Creighton
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Ashworth | 87.9% | +2.9range +1.9 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | +6.6range +5.8 to +7.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jamiya Neal | 85.7% | +2.7range +1.5 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | +6.3range +5.4 to +7.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner | 84.3% | +4.9range +4.0 to +5.7Sufficient evidence | +7.6range +6.9 to +8.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jackson McAndrew | 58.4% | +2.7range +1.2 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | +4.3range +3.7 to +5.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jasen Green | 50.6% | +1.2range +0.0 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.6 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Isaac Traudt | 37.3% | +1.1range -0.2 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +2.3range +1.9 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mason Miller | 23.4% | -1.1range -2.3 to +0.3Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.9 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Fedor Zugic | 19.0% | +0.8range +0.2 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +1.0 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Pop Isaacs | 18.6% | +2.0range +1.0 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Fredrick King | 14.1% | +0.8range -0.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ty Davis | 12.0% | -1.1range -2.0 to -0.1Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Shane Thomas | 5.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sterling Knox | 1.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sami Osmani | 0.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Josh Townley-Thomas | 0.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
32 of 36 games passed lineup acceptance (89%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 4 of 36 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $19,767,613 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $14,019,614 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 3 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 31 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.6 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology