Algosys College Basketball

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Colorado

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Colorado, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Julian Hammond III69.0%+0.4range -1.2 to +1.6Sufficient evidence+3.2range +2.4 to +3.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Andrej Jakimovski68.5%+2.8range +1.6 to +4.1Sufficient evidence+4.1range +3.6 to +4.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
RJ Smith51.0%+0.5range -0.9 to +1.9Sufficient evidence+2.4range +2.0 to +2.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Trevor Baskin48.7%+2.3range +1.3 to +3.8Sufficient evidence+2.8range +2.5 to +3.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Bangot Dak48.7%-0.4range -1.6 to +0.7Sufficient evidence+2.1range +1.7 to +2.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Javon Ruffin48.0%-1.5range -2.7 to -0.0Sufficient evidence+1.7range +1.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Elijah Malone44.1%+1.8range +0.5 to +3.1Sufficient evidence+2.4range +2.1 to +2.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Sebastian Rancik42.8%-1.2range -2.7 to +0.3Sufficient evidence+1.6range +1.2 to +2.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Assane Diop38.4%-0.1range -1.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidence+1.7range +1.3 to +2.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Felix Kossaras19.5%+0.9range -0.2 to +2.0Sufficient evidence+1.0range +0.9 to +1.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Harrison Carrington19.2%-0.1range -1.2 to +1.0Sufficient evidence+0.9range +0.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Courtney Anderson1.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Jack Pease0.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Grady Whitt0.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Greg Gerhardt0.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Nick Randall0.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

33 of 34 games passed lineup acceptance (97%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 1 of 34 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue$11,918,793Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$8,608,358Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched through an NCES IPEDS institution alias, with state and home-venue city agreeing.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day4
2 days1
3 or more days28

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent2
Longest run of consecutive away games2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology