Col Charleston
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ante Brzovic | 81.3% | +2.5range +1.2 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | +5.9range +5.1 to +6.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| CJ Fulton | 80.2% | +3.9range +2.9 to +4.8Sufficient evidence | +6.6range +6.0 to +7.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Derrin Boyd | 72.9% | +0.1range -1.1 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +4.0range +3.3 to +4.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Deywilk Tavarez | 60.0% | +1.6range -0.1 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | +4.0range +3.1 to +4.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| AJ Smith | 54.0% | +0.5range -0.8 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.5 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Lazar Djokovic | 50.8% | -0.3range -1.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +2.6range +2.1 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Justas Stonkus | 38.2% | -1.2range -2.2 to -0.1Sufficient evidence | +1.7range +1.4 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Elijah Jones | 27.7% | -1.4range -2.3 to -0.3Sufficient evidence | +1.2range +1.0 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Djordje Curcic | 16.0% | -1.0range -2.3 to +0.2Sufficient evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaxon Prunty | 10.4% | -0.1range -0.7 to +0.4Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Evan Kilminster | 3.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Adam Comer | 3.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jack Miller | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cade Higgins | 0.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Joey Scarpitti | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
28 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (88%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 4 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $5,415,376 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $5,415,376 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 10 |
| 3 or more days | 19 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology