Coastal Car
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Meo | 81.5% | -1.4range -2.6 to -0.4Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.1 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| RaSheed Jones | 78.3% | -1.2range -2.4 to +0.0Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.1 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jordan Battle | 75.4% | -0.4range -1.3 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.5 to +3.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Denzel Hines | 57.9% | -2.0range -3.0 to -0.7Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.4 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Noah Amenhauser | 56.3% | +0.0range -0.8 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +2.0 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Colin Granger | 43.3% | -1.8range -2.9 to -0.8Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Henry Abraham | 34.3% | -0.5range -1.8 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Naz Brown | 32.8% | -3.7range -5.1 to -2.4Sufficient evidence | +0.7range +0.3 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Andre Mulibea | 22.5% | +0.1range -1.1 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mabor Majak | 16.3% | -1.2range -1.9 to -0.3Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| DA Houston | 0.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Charles Dunlap | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Connor Martin | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
27 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (90%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 3 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $3,249,057 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $3,249,057 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 7 |
| 3 or more days | 21 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 2 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology