Algosys College Basketball

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Cleveland St

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Cleveland St, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Tahj Staveskie80.0%+1.2range +0.1 to +2.2Sufficient evidence+4.5range +3.8 to +5.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Tevin Smith76.0%+2.1range +1.3 to +2.9Sufficient evidence+4.7range +4.2 to +5.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Dylan Arnett73.8%+1.4range +0.3 to +2.7Sufficient evidence+4.2range +3.6 to +5.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Ebrima Dibba64.3%+0.9range -0.5 to +2.2Sufficient evidence+3.4range +2.7 to +4.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Chase Robinson60.8%-0.7range -1.7 to +0.4Sufficient evidence+2.6range +2.2 to +3.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Je'Shawn Stevenson46.7%+0.5range -0.7 to +1.6Sufficient evidence+2.4range +2.0 to +2.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Reece Robinson29.9%-0.1range -1.1 to +1.0Sufficient evidence+1.4range +1.1 to +1.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Cole Franklin25.8%-1.6range -2.4 to -0.9Sufficient evidence+0.9range +0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Isaac Abidde19.2%-0.7range -1.6 to +0.2Sufficient evidence+0.8range +0.7 to +1.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
KJ Debrick18.5%+0.8range +0.1 to +1.8Sufficient evidence+1.0range +0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Danny Young1.8%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Chaz Watson1.7%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Jalin Rice1.4%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

28 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (93%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 2 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses

Reported revenue$2,667,151Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$2,579,603Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
2 days3
3 or more days26

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent1
Longest run of consecutive away games3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology