Algosys College Basketball

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Canisius

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Canisius, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Paul McMillan IV90.6%-3.1range -4.1 to -2.1Sufficient evidence+1.4range +1.0 to +1.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Tana Kopa89.2%-2.5range -3.2 to -1.8Sufficient evidence+1.5range +1.3 to +1.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Anthony Benard73.8%-2.5range -3.7 to -1.5Sufficient evidence+1.3range +1.0 to +1.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Cam Palesse69.5%+0.4range -0.8 to +1.7Sufficient evidence+1.9range +1.6 to +2.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Dylan Godfrey58.9%-1.0range -1.9 to -0.2Sufficient evidence+1.4range +1.1 to +1.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jasman Sangha39.8%-2.9range -4.0 to -1.8Sufficient evidence+0.7range +0.5 to +0.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Evan van der Plas35.1%-4.0range -5.4 to -2.8Sufficient evidence+0.5range +0.3 to +0.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Gianni Thompson30.9%-1.6range -2.7 to -0.6Sufficient evidence+0.7range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
William Scott Jr.7.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Tyson Oghene3.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Maji David-Maji1.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Nicco DiGiulio0.7%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Trevor Augustine0.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

23 of 31 games passed lineup acceptance (74%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 8 of 31 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue$1,898,239Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$1,898,239Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day1
2 days9
3 or more days20

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent2
Longest run of consecutive away games3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology