C Michigan
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakobi Heady | 91.4% | +1.6range +0.4 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | +4.2range +3.6 to +4.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Anthony Pritchard | 91.2% | +0.1range -1.0 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +3.5range +2.9 to +4.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Cayden Vasko | 81.4% | -0.4range -1.4 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +3.0range +2.5 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kyler VanderJagt | 68.1% | -0.9range -1.9 to +0.2Sufficient evidence | +2.3range +1.9 to +2.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ugnius Jarusevicius | 64.5% | +1.9range +0.7 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.7 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bryan Ndjonga | 48.0% | -1.0range -1.9 to -0.3Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.3 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Damarion Bonds | 26.6% | -0.3range -1.5 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Quentin Heady | 14.6% | -0.4range -1.2 to +0.5Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Hunter Harding | 6.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Shaedon Simpson | 6.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| DeCorion Temple | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Drew Barbee | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mohammad Habhab | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
22 of 27 games passed lineup acceptance (81%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 5 of 27 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,549,633 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,549,633 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 2 days | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 25 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.6 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology