Bucknell
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Bascoe | 87.5% | +0.5range -0.7 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | +5.0range +4.1 to +6.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Achile Spadone | 76.1% | +0.3range -0.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +4.2range +3.6 to +4.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ruot Bijiek | 70.4% | +0.0range -1.3 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | +3.7range +2.9 to +4.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Noah Williamson | 68.1% | +1.3range +0.0 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | +4.3range +3.6 to +5.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Elvin Edmonds IV | 56.7% | +0.8range -0.5 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.7 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brandon McCreesh | 51.4% | +0.5range -0.6 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | +2.9range +2.5 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jayden Williams | 31.2% | -1.1range -2.4 to +0.2Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.0 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Pip Ajayi | 31.1% | +0.6range -0.7 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.4 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ian Motta | 12.0% | +0.4range -0.4 to +1.1Limited evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Josh Fulton | 8.2% | -0.3range -1.2 to +0.6Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brady Muller | 5.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Patrick O'Brien | 0.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kellen Welch | 0.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
30 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (91%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 3 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,944,796 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,944,796 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 2 days | 4 |
| 3 or more days | 28 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 2 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 4 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology