Algosys College Basketball

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Brown

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Brown, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Kino Lilly Jr.94.3%+1.2range +0.5 to +2.0Sufficient evidence+4.2range +3.8 to +4.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Aaron Cooley74.2%+1.5range +0.4 to +2.5Sufficient evidence+3.5range +3.0 to +4.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Landon Lewis65.7%+0.2range -0.8 to +1.0Sufficient evidence+2.6range +2.3 to +3.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Lyndel Erold62.4%+1.1range -0.1 to +2.2Sufficient evidence+2.8range +2.4 to +3.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Malcolm Wrisby-Jefferson51.6%+1.0range +0.2 to +1.9Sufficient evidence+2.3range +2.0 to +2.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Alexander Lesburt Jr.45.6%+0.4range -0.4 to +1.3Sufficient evidence+1.9range +1.7 to +2.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
N'famara Dabo44.3%+2.0range +1.0 to +3.4Sufficient evidence+2.2range +2.0 to +2.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jeremiah Jenkins22.4%-0.1range -0.6 to +0.4Limited evidence+0.9range +0.8 to +1.0Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
David Rochester17.5%-0.6range -1.3 to +0.2Limited evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Adrian Uchidiuno14.5%+0.6range -0.0 to +1.2Limited evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Sam Klores3.7%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Wyatt DeGraaf2.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Luke Paragon1.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Jerrell Barron Jr.0.8%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

15 of 26 games passed lineup acceptance (58%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 11 of 26 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue$1,919,760Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$1,919,760Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day6
2 days1
3 or more days18

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.3
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent0
Longest run of consecutive away games3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology