Algosys College Basketball

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Bradley

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Bradley, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Duke Deen81.9%+1.9range +1.0 to +3.0Sufficient evidence+5.5range +4.7 to +6.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Zek Montgomery80.2%+1.2range +0.4 to +2.0Sufficient evidence+4.9range +4.3 to +5.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Christian Davis76.5%+1.1range +0.4 to +1.7Sufficient evidence+4.6range +4.1 to +5.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Darius Hannah71.2%+2.0range +1.2 to +2.9Sufficient evidence+4.8range +4.3 to +5.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Almar Atlason49.1%-0.4range -1.0 to +0.2Sufficient evidence+2.4range +2.1 to +2.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jaquan Johnson39.6%+0.8range -0.5 to +2.2Sufficient evidence+2.3range +1.8 to +2.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Ahmet Jonovic32.9%+0.9range +0.3 to +1.6Sufficient evidence+1.9range +1.7 to +2.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Corey Thomas28.7%+0.8range -0.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence+1.6range +1.3 to +1.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Demarion Burch20.1%+0.9range +0.1 to +1.7Limited evidence+1.1range +1.0 to +1.3Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Connor Dillon16.4%-0.6range -1.2 to -0.0Limited evidence+0.8range +0.7 to +0.9Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Connor Linke3.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Sam Hennessy0.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Cade Hardtke0.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Goanar Biliew0.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

16 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (48%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 17 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue$3,870,120Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$3,870,120Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day3
2 days1
3 or more days28

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent0
Longest run of consecutive away games2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology