Bowling Green
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Johnson | 81.7% | +1.2range +0.3 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | +4.4range +3.8 to +4.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Javontae Campbell | 77.0% | -0.7range -1.8 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.6 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Derrick Butler | 75.5% | -1.1range -2.4 to -0.0Sufficient evidence | +3.0range +2.3 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trey Thomas | 65.6% | -0.0range -1.2 to +1.1Sufficient evidence | +3.0range +2.4 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jamai Felt | 53.5% | -0.4range -1.8 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +1.8 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Wilguens Jr. Exacte | 42.8% | -1.4range -2.8 to -0.2Sufficient evidence | +1.6range +1.2 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Braelon Green | 36.8% | -1.1range -2.1 to +0.1Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| DaJion Humphrey | 35.5% | -1.5range -2.4 to -0.6Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.1 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sam Towns | 11.1% | +1.3range +0.9 to +1.7Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.6 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Preston Squire | 10.0% | -1.2range -1.8 to -0.6Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Youssef Khayat | 9.0% | +0.2range -0.3 to +0.8Limited evidence | +0.4range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaxon Pardon | 1.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Greg Spurgin | 0.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
24 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (80%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 6 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $2,731,737 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $2,626,397 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 3 or more days | 28 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology