Bethune-Cookman
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Thomas | 80.7% | -1.8range -2.7 to -0.8Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.2 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jesus Carralero Martin | 73.4% | +0.3range -0.5 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +3.0 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Daniel Rouzan | 68.1% | -1.1range -2.0 to +0.0Sufficient evidence | +2.6range +2.2 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Seneca Willoughby | 63.0% | +0.7range -0.3 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.7 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Kalil Camara | 62.6% | -0.0range -1.0 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | +2.8range +2.4 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Reggie Ward Jr. | 44.7% | -1.0range -2.2 to +0.2Sufficient evidence | +1.8range +1.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Brayon Freeman | 38.3% | -1.7range -2.9 to -0.6Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.0 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| David Onanina | 33.6% | -0.8range -1.5 to -0.0Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.2 to +1.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Gianni Hunt | 17.2% | -1.0range -2.1 to +0.0Limited evidence | +0.7range +0.6 to +0.8Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jarrell Love | 10.7% | -3.9range -4.8 to -3.1Limited evidence | +0.2range +0.1 to +0.3Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jerome Beya | 5.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trayvon Barbary | 1.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Antwann Jones | 0.7% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Simeon Womack | 0.3% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
23 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (70%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 10 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $1,970,796 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $1,970,796 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 9 |
| 3 or more days | 21 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.6 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 2 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 9 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology