Algosys College Basketball

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Baylor

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Baylor, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Norchad Omier78.4%+3.1range +2.1 to +4.2Sufficient evidence+5.2range +4.6 to +5.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
V.J. Edgecombe75.9%+2.7range +1.6 to +3.7Sufficient evidence+4.9range +4.3 to +5.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Robert Wright III72.3%+1.0range -0.4 to +2.2Sufficient evidence+3.8range +3.1 to +4.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jayden Nunn67.3%+3.3range +2.1 to +4.5Sufficient evidence+4.6range +4.0 to +5.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jeremy Roach58.2%+2.3range +1.2 to +3.4Sufficient evidence+3.6range +3.2 to +4.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jalen Celestine54.6%+3.4range +2.1 to +4.6Sufficient evidence+3.8range +3.2 to +4.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Josh Ojianwuna40.7%+4.2range +2.6 to +5.5Sufficient evidence+3.0range +2.6 to +3.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Langston Love36.9%-0.7range -1.8 to +0.5Sufficient evidence+1.5range +1.3 to +1.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jason Asemota9.6%-0.6range -1.4 to +0.3Limited evidence+0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Marino Dubravcic3.8%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Omar Adegbola1.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Davidson Hubbard1.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

34 of 34 games passed lineup acceptance (100%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

No exclusions were recorded.

Program revenueβ

EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses

Reported revenue$18,424,983Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output.
Reported expenses$18,424,983Reported by the school.

EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.

No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day2
2 days4
3 or more days27

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent1
Longest run of consecutive away games2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology