Algosys College Basketball

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Army

2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Army, 2025: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Ryan Curry83.1%-0.2range -1.1 to +0.7Sufficient evidence+3.6range +3.0 to +4.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jalen Rucker80.1%-1.2range -2.1 to -0.0Sufficient evidence+3.0range +2.5 to +3.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Josh Scovens70.5%-0.9range -1.7 to -0.1Sufficient evidence+2.8range +2.4 to +3.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
AJ Allenspach65.7%+0.7range -0.4 to +1.6Sufficient evidence+3.2range +2.8 to +3.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Blake Barker49.5%-0.4range -1.5 to +0.6Sufficient evidence+2.1range +1.8 to +2.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Isaiah Caldwell44.4%-2.9range -4.5 to -1.2Sufficient evidence+1.2range +0.8 to +1.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jacen Holloway24.5%-0.9range -2.1 to +0.4Sufficient evidence+1.0range +0.8 to +1.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kendall Hailey22.1%-2.8range -3.6 to -1.8Sufficient evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jorn Everson20.2%-1.7range -2.7 to -0.5Sufficient evidence+0.7range +0.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kevin McCarthy18.0%+0.2range -1.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidence+0.9range +0.7 to +1.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Tate Laczkowski12.1%+0.7range -0.1 to +1.6Limited evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
JT Dougherty2.4%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Blane St. Clair2.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Luke Benson1.6%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Jackson Mayo1.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Chanse Perkins1.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Dayon Polk0.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Dylan Murans0.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Nnaemeka Ikechi0.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Griff Lamb0.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Jaxson Bell0.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Joshua Eli0.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

27 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (93%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 2 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

No program revenue was published for this team.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
2 days2
3 or more days26

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent2
Longest run of consecutive away games2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology