Arizona
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Bradley | 85.6% | +4.6range +3.3 to +5.5Sufficient evidence | +7.4range +6.5 to +8.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Caleb Love | 85.4% | +3.6range +2.6 to +4.6Sufficient evidence | +6.7range +6.0 to +7.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| KJ Lewis | 64.0% | +2.3range +0.9 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | +4.4range +3.6 to +5.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Henri Veesaar | 51.7% | +5.7range +4.3 to +7.0Sufficient evidence | +4.8range +4.3 to +5.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tobe Awaka | 49.4% | +2.1range +0.7 to +3.6Sufficient evidence | +3.3range +2.8 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Trey Townsend | 49.0% | +0.6range -0.7 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.2 to +3.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Carter Bryant | 48.3% | +2.8range +1.1 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | +3.5range +2.8 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Anthony Dell'Orso | 45.1% | +2.6range +1.2 to +4.2Sufficient evidence | +3.1range +2.7 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Motiejus Krivas | 8.1% | +3.2range +2.4 to +3.8Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Conrad Martinez | 7.0% | +4.3range +2.9 to +5.8Limited evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Liam Lloyd | 1.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Emmanuel Stephen | 1.4% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Grant Weitman | 0.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Addison Arnold | 0.9% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Luke Champion | 0.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Will Menaugh | 0.6% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jackson Cook | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Will Kuykendall | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jackson Francois | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sven Djopmo | 0.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
35 of 37 games passed lineup acceptance (95%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 2 of 37 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $22,635,363 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $22,635,363 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 4 |
| 2 days | 3 |
| 3 or more days | 29 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.6 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology