Alabama A&M
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Moodie | 65.6% | -2.8range -3.9 to -1.6Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +0.9 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| AC Bryant | 56.2% | -1.0range -2.4 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +1.5range +1.2 to +1.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Lorenzo Downey | 54.6% | -2.8range -4.0 to -1.7Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +0.8 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Darius Ford | 49.4% | -2.6range -4.0 to -0.9Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.7 to +1.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| London Riley | 36.6% | -1.3range -1.9 to -0.7Sufficient evidence | +1.0range +0.8 to +1.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Saliou Seye | 36.0% | -0.5range -1.5 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | +1.1range +0.9 to +1.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bilal Abdur-Rahman | 30.8% | -1.6range -2.5 to -0.5Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.6 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Clance Crosby | 27.5% | -2.2range -3.2 to -1.0Sufficient evidence | +0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Quincy McGriff | 25.4% | -3.1range -3.9 to -2.1Sufficient evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jaylen Colon | 23.1% | -0.8range -1.8 to +0.3Sufficient evidence | +0.7range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Dylan Mclean | 22.0% | -2.0range -3.0 to -1.0Sufficient evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Aaron Smith | 19.9% | -1.8range -2.8 to -0.6Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Angok Anyang | 16.1% | -0.9range -1.5 to -0.3Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Warren Yeh | 11.4% | -3.4range -4.3 to -2.4Limited evidence | +0.2range +0.1 to +0.3Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Eric Lee | 7.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| EJay Greer | 7.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bol Kuir | 6.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Austin Harvell | 2.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Ademola Oladipo | 0.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Joshua Hughley | 0.5% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
20 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (69%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 9 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $1,591,243 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $1,235,045 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 1 |
| 2 days | 9 |
| 3 or more days | 18 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.7 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 3 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology