Alabama
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Sears | 80.6% | +4.1range +2.7 to +5.0Sufficient evidence | +7.1range +6.3 to +8.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Grant Nelson | 64.6% | +3.1range +1.6 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | +5.1range +4.3 to +5.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Labaron Philon | 62.0% | +3.4range +1.7 to +4.8Sufficient evidence | +5.1range +4.3 to +5.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Aden Holloway | 51.4% | +3.3range +2.2 to +4.4Sufficient evidence | +4.1range +3.6 to +4.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Clifford Omoruyi | 49.0% | +5.1range +3.8 to +6.5Sufficient evidence | +4.7range +4.1 to +5.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Chris Youngblood | 46.9% | +1.8range +0.3 to +3.1Sufficient evidence | +3.2range +2.7 to +3.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Jarin Stevenson | 46.3% | +2.6range +1.1 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | +3.5range +2.9 to +4.1Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Mouhamed Dioubate | 38.8% | +4.2range +2.8 to +5.6Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +2.9 to +3.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Derrion Reid | 21.9% | +0.8range -0.3 to +1.8Sufficient evidence | +1.3range +1.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Aiden Sherrell | 20.2% | +2.4range +1.2 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | +1.4range +1.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Latrell Wrightsell Jr. | 14.3% | +1.5range +0.7 to +2.2Sufficient evidence | +0.9range +0.8 to +1.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Houston Mallette | 3.2% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
| Max Scharnowski | 0.8% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
35 of 37 games passed lineup acceptance (95%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 2 of 37 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expenses
| Reported revenue | $24,406,961 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $15,230,030 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 2 |
| 2 days | 2 |
| 3 or more days | 32 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.5 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology