Akron
2025 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results
Roster valuesβ
| Player | Possession share | Net and range | Wins above replacement and range | Speculative compensation (best guess) | Compensation 80% range |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Johnson | 75.5% | +1.5range +0.3 to +2.7Sufficient evidence | +4.5range +3.6 to +5.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Tavari Johnson | 62.4% | +1.2range +0.3 to +2.3Sufficient evidence | +3.5range +3.0 to +4.3Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Isaiah Gray | 60.4% | +2.5range +1.2 to +3.7Sufficient evidence | +3.9range +3.3 to +4.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Shammah Scott | 58.9% | +1.5range +0.4 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | +3.4range +2.9 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| James Okonkwo | 46.9% | +3.9range +2.6 to +4.9Sufficient evidence | +3.5range +3.0 to +4.0Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Seth Wilson | 46.1% | +0.8range -0.3 to +1.7Sufficient evidence | +2.4range +2.0 to +2.8Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Amani Lyles | 44.5% | +2.0range +1.0 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | +2.7range +2.3 to +3.2Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Sharron Young | 38.2% | +1.4range +0.4 to +2.1Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.8 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Bowen Hardman | 38.2% | +1.1range -0.1 to +2.4Sufficient evidence | +2.1range +1.7 to +2.5Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali | 18.5% | -0.7range -2.2 to +0.4Sufficient evidence | +0.8range +0.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Josiah Harris | 8.2% | +3.0range +2.4 to +3.7Limited evidence | +0.5range +0.5 to +0.6Limited evidence | None: no budget that season | — |
| Evan Wilson | 2.1% | Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidence | Not applicable | None: no budget that season | — |
Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.
Coverage and exclusions
25 of 33 games passed lineup acceptance (76%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.
- 8 of 33 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team
Program revenueβ
EADA year 2024-25 (primary pairing to repo season 2025; fiscal-year mapping unconfirmed) · self-reported by the school, no external review · EADA revenue is any money used to pay expensesrevenue equals expenses
| Reported revenue | $3,258,454 | Reported by the school; not NIL pay and not a model output. |
|---|---|---|
| Reported expenses | $3,258,454 | Reported by the school. |
EADA link: matched to the registry school by a unique institution name and state.
No model-implied dollar range is shown (status: suppressed). The published dollar status could not be loaded; see NIL methodology for the reason.
Schedule loadβ
Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.
Rest days before each game
| Rest days | Games |
|---|---|
| First game (no rest value) | 1 |
| 1 day | 5 |
| 3 or more days | 27 |
Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.
Load summary
| Mean games in prior 7 days | 1.4 |
|---|---|
| Games with fewer rest days than the opponent | 0 |
| Longest run of consecutive away games | 2 |
Association between rest and margin, all teams
Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41
This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.
Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology