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Vanderbilt

2024 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Vanderbilt, 2024: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Ezra Manjon75.6%-0.7range -1.6 to +0.6Sufficient evidence+2.0range +1.6 to +2.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Tyrin Lawrence68.3%-0.6range -1.5 to +0.4Sufficient evidence+1.8range +1.5 to +2.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Ven-Allen Lubin61.7%+0.1range -1.0 to +1.5Sufficient evidence+1.9range +1.5 to +2.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Evan Taylor56.6%-0.9range -1.8 to -0.0Sufficient evidence+1.5range +1.2 to +1.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jason Rivera-Torres36.9%+1.1range +0.2 to +2.1Sufficient evidence+1.3range +1.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Paul Lewis36.1%-2.2range -3.2 to -1.0Sufficient evidence+0.7range +0.5 to +1.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Tasos Kamateros32.9%-0.9range -2.2 to +0.2Sufficient evidence+0.9range +0.6 to +1.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
JaQualon "JQ" Roberts28.5%-0.4range -1.3 to +0.5Sufficient evidence+0.8range +0.6 to +1.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Malik Presley24.4%-0.3range -1.0 to +0.5Sufficient evidence+0.7range +0.6 to +0.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jordan Williams22.1%-1.4range -2.3 to -0.5Sufficient evidence+0.5range +0.4 to +0.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Isaiah West20.5%-0.8range -1.6 to -0.0Sufficient evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Carter Lang18.7%-1.5range -2.4 to -0.5Sufficient evidence+0.4range +0.3 to +0.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Colin Smith13.9%+1.1range +0.3 to +2.3Limited evidence+0.5range +0.4 to +0.6Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Graham Calton2.4%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Lee Dort0.8%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Miles Keeffe0.6%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

26 of 32 games passed lineup acceptance (81%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 6 of 32 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

No program revenue was published for this team.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day1
3 or more days30

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.5
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent0
Longest run of consecutive away games2

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology