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Manhattan

2024 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Manhattan, 2024: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Jaden Winston85.4%-1.2range -2.0 to -0.1Sufficient evidence+1.9range +1.6 to +2.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Seydou Traore74.7%+0.0range -1.0 to +1.2Sufficient evidence+2.1range +1.7 to +2.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Daniel Rouzan65.0%-0.0range -1.0 to +1.5Sufficient evidence+1.8range +1.5 to +2.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Shaquil Bender61.3%-1.8range -3.0 to -0.5Sufficient evidence+1.3range +0.9 to +1.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Perry Cowan55.8%-2.1range -3.2 to -0.9Sufficient evidence+1.1range +0.8 to +1.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Logan Padgett33.8%-0.5range -1.4 to +0.2Sufficient evidence+0.9range +0.8 to +1.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Briggs McClain31.6%-2.3range -2.9 to -1.5Sufficient evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Wesley Robinson24.9%+1.3range +0.8 to +1.9Limited evidence+0.9range +0.8 to +1.0Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Rokas Jocys23.3%-0.5range -1.4 to +0.6Limited evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Brett Rumpel16.7%-1.3range -2.1 to -0.5Limited evidence+0.4range +0.3 to +0.5Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Xinyi Li14.7%-0.9range -1.5 to -0.5Limited evidence+0.4range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
DeJuan Clayton5.8%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Raziel Hayun3.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Lorenzo Washington2.8%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Daniel Hackett0.7%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Bryce Stokes0.2%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

16 of 29 games passed lineup acceptance (55%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 13 of 29 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

No program revenue was published for this team.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
2 days9
3 or more days19

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.3
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent3
Longest run of consecutive away games5

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology