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James Madison

2024 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for James Madison, 2024: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Terrence Edwards Jr.75.7%+3.7range +2.5 to +4.9Sufficient evidence+4.4range +3.8 to +5.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Noah Freidel75.0%+4.3range +3.2 to +5.3Sufficient evidence+4.6range +3.9 to +5.4Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Julien Wooden61.9%+3.5range +2.0 to +4.8Sufficient evidence+3.4range +2.7 to +4.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
T.J. Bickerstaff58.6%+3.4range +1.9 to +4.8Sufficient evidence+3.2range +2.6 to +3.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Raekwon Horton54.3%+1.5range +0.3 to +2.7Sufficient evidence+2.3range +1.8 to +2.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Michael Green III53.7%+3.9range +2.7 to +5.3Sufficient evidence+3.1range +2.6 to +3.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Xavier Brown52.3%+0.9range -0.4 to +2.1Sufficient evidence+2.0range +1.6 to +2.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jaylen Carey36.4%+2.7range +1.5 to +4.0Sufficient evidence+1.7range +1.4 to +2.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Bryant Randleman21.7%-0.6range -2.0 to +0.8Sufficient evidence+0.6range +0.5 to +0.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Quincy Allen3.8%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Jerrell Roberson II2.9%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Hollman Smith1.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Shane Feden1.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Jarrell Pope0.7%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Aidan Mckeon0.4%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

29 of 35 games passed lineup acceptance (83%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 6 of 35 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

No program revenue was published for this team.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day3
2 days7
3 or more days24

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent0
Longest run of consecutive away games4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology