Algosys College Basketball

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SIUE

2024 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for SIUE, 2024: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Damarco Minor86.0%+0.1range -0.8 to +1.0Sufficient evidence+3.4range +2.8 to +4.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Shamar Wright82.4%-0.1range -1.1 to +1.0Sufficient evidence+3.2range +2.6 to +3.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Ray'Sean Taylor78.4%-1.3range -2.3 to -0.2Sufficient evidence+2.4range +1.8 to +3.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Lamar Wright76.4%+1.2range +0.3 to +2.2Sufficient evidence+3.6range +3.0 to +4.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Terrance Thompson52.4%+0.6range -0.2 to +1.4Sufficient evidence+2.3range +2.0 to +2.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Desmond Polk42.3%+0.1range -0.7 to +0.8Sufficient evidence+1.7range +1.4 to +2.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Brian Taylor25.6%-1.5range -2.9 to -0.1Sufficient evidence+0.8range +0.5 to +1.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Arnas Sakenis25.1%+0.7range -0.1 to +1.5Sufficient evidence+1.1range +0.9 to +1.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Eddiean Tirado10.1%-0.9range -1.5 to -0.1Limited evidence+0.3range +0.3 to +0.4Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Dorion Staples6.9%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Ethan Yancy6.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Jordan Pickett5.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Adeola Seun2.6%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Quani Rudd0.6%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

24 of 30 games passed lineup acceptance (80%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 6 of 30 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

No program revenue was published for this team.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day2
2 days8
3 or more days19

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent3
Longest run of consecutive away games4

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology