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Col Charleston

2024 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Col Charleston, 2024: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
Reyne Smith65.1%+3.7range +2.0 to +5.2Sufficient evidence+4.7range +3.8 to +5.6Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
CJ Fulton59.7%+2.1range +0.8 to +3.3Sufficient evidence+3.6range +3.0 to +4.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Ben Burnham57.2%+4.2range +2.8 to +5.9Sufficient evidence+4.4range +3.7 to +5.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Ante Brzovic57.0%+2.2range +1.0 to +3.6Sufficient evidence+3.5range +2.9 to +4.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Frankie Policelli55.0%+2.3range +0.9 to +3.5Sufficient evidence+3.4range +2.8 to +4.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Bryce Butler52.4%-1.6range -3.3 to +0.1Sufficient evidence+1.7range +1.0 to +2.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Kobe Rodgers48.4%+2.8range +1.7 to +4.0Sufficient evidence+3.2range +2.6 to +3.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
James Scott39.4%+1.9range +0.6 to +3.2Sufficient evidence+2.3range +1.9 to +2.7Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jordan Crawford25.5%-1.1range -2.0 to +0.1Sufficient evidence+0.9range +0.7 to +1.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Khalil London24.7%-1.9range -3.4 to -0.4Sufficient evidence+0.7range +0.5 to +1.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Mayar Wol7.7%-0.6range -1.3 to +0.1Limited evidence+0.3range +0.2 to +0.4Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Evan Kilminster6.5%-2.7range -3.6 to -1.9Limited evidence+0.2range +0.1 to +0.2Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jack Miller0.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Spencer Legg0.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Adam Comer0.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Dylan Ritter0.3%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

32 of 34 games passed lineup acceptance (94%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 2 of 34 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

No program revenue was published for this team.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day4
2 days9
3 or more days20

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.4
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent1
Longest run of consecutive away games3

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology