Algosys College Basketball

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Yale

2023 · evaluation season · nil-value-v3 · Team results

Roster valuesβ

Roster values for Yale, 2023: retrospective net points per 100 possessions and, for 2025–26 only, a speculative compensation best guess. Players are listed by possession share, not by value or dollars.
PlayerPossession shareNet and rangeWins above replacement and rangeSpeculative compensation (best guess)Compensation 80% range
John Poulakidas74.8%+2.3range +1.0 to +3.3Sufficient evidence+3.5range +2.8 to +4.1Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Bez Mbeng73.8%+3.2range +1.9 to +4.4Sufficient evidence+3.8range +3.2 to +4.5Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
August Mahoney71.6%+3.1range +2.0 to +3.9Sufficient evidence+3.7range +3.0 to +4.2Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
EJ Jarvis59.2%+2.6range +1.5 to +3.6Sufficient evidence+2.8range +2.4 to +3.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Matt Knowling55.0%+1.7range +0.7 to +2.9Sufficient evidence+2.3range +1.9 to +2.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Isaiah Kelly46.9%+0.7range -0.2 to +1.7Sufficient evidence+1.7range +1.4 to +2.0Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Yassine Gharram38.9%+0.6range -1.1 to +2.4Sufficient evidence+1.4range +0.9 to +1.8Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Jack Molloy32.6%-0.3range -1.6 to +1.2Sufficient evidence+1.0range +0.7 to +1.3Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Michael Feinberg21.8%+1.1range -0.2 to +2.3Sufficient evidence+0.8range +0.7 to +0.9Sufficient evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Danny Wolf10.0%+2.2range +1.5 to +2.8Limited evidence+0.4range +0.4 to +0.5Limited evidenceNone: no budget that season—
Yussif Basa-Ama6.4%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Teo Rice2.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Emir Buyukhanli2.1%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Luke Kolaja2.0%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Nick Townsend1.8%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—
Devon Arlington0.5%Fewer than 300 on-court possessions; no value is estimated. Insufficient evidenceNot applicableNone: no budget that season—

Ranges are the 10th to 90th percentile of whole-game resampling draws. They are not calibrated intervals. Compensation is a speculative best guess of a share of the school's own revenue-sharing budget, not observed pay.

Coverage and exclusions

22 of 27 games passed lineup acceptance (81%). 100% of accepted on-court possessions are bound to registered players.

  • 5 of 27 audited games did not pass lineup acceptance; per-game reasons are counted for the whole season (see methodology), not per team

Program revenueβ

No program revenue was published for this team.

Schedule loadβ

Counts are descriptive and associational, with neutral formatting. Consecutive away games is the only travel proxy; distance, time zones and injuries are not modeled.

Rest days before each game

Rest daysGames
First game (no rest value)1
1 day5
2 days2
3 or more days19

Rest is capped at three days. Descriptive count.

Load summary

Mean games in prior 7 days1.2
Games with fewer rest days than the opponent1
Longest run of consecutive away games6

Association between rest and margin, all teams

Pooled association passes the declared test (gate S1); not causal and not specific to this team · 0.86 points of margin associated with each extra rest day, range +0.33 to +1.41

This is an association, not a causal lever, pooled across Division I and not specific to this team.

Manifest 13921361a27d · NIL methodology